AUGUST 10, 2009

HOPEFULLY I can still try to keep this up to date. Starting in the late part of this month, this will switch to more of an emphasis on the Wabash Valley.


FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE:

FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE EAST FORK WHITE AND
MUSCATATUCK RIVERS. FLOODING WILL DEVELOP ALONG PORTIONS OF THE
WHITE RIVER.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AND
TONIGHT. A FEW OF THE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE MAINLY THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. DAMAGING WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN ARE THE
PRIMARY THREATS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. SEVERE
STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. LIGHTNING IS A THREAT FROM
ANY THUNDERSTORM.

BACK TO KENTUCKIANA WEATHER

Me and Erik have had quite a bit of trouble updating the blog together. Its not his fault. We just haven't made enough time, or haven't had enough time. Due to this I'm going back to my original blog..."KENTUCKIANA WEATHER". As you know, this use to be my blog and I updated on nearly a regular basis before I began to "slack off". I promise to not do this again, that doesn't mean I will update daily, but at least every 2 days.

This is NOT a new blog. However, this is where I now plan on doing weather updates. You can catch this blog by going to http://www.kentuckianaweather.blogspot.com/

Wednesday-7/15/3:17PM

Sun is beginning to peek it parts of the region. It will be interesting to see if any thunderstorms develop. The atmosphere is pretty worked over, but there's still potential for some storms to develop in a couple of more hours. Severe? Maybe a very isolated severe storm. Strong? If storms develop, strong storms seem likely. 50 MPH winds, small hail, and vivid cloud to ground lightning can be expected IF storms develop this evening.

Wednesday-7/15/2:01PM

The slight risk for severe weather has been dropped by the Storm Prediction Center. Could see some more rain and embedded thunderstorms later this afternoon into this evening, but the severe weather threat looks very low at this point.

Dry weather returns tomorrow with comfortable temperatures.

Erik will have more this evening...

Tuesday-7/14/6:12PM

Watches now going up across the upper Midwest. The MCS is beginning to develop. This will push into our northern viewing area (Central Indiana) by about 3 or 4 AM and then sweep through the rest of the region between 5 and 10 AM. These storms are not expected to be severe.

More storms should develop tomorrow afternoon and evening. There are a few limiting factors, and this will inhibit a widespread severe weather event. However, isolated to scattered warnings are certainly still possible. If severe storms do develop, the best threat will be damaging winds. Large hail will be the secondary threat. The tornado threat is fairly small.

I or Erik will update later tonight...

Tuesday/1:13PM

Rest of this afternoon and evening will stay dry, but that looks to change as we head into the overnight hours.

A cold front will be sagging to the south later tonight and with it an MCS (Multi Convective System) will develop and push through the region during the early morning hours (between 3-9AM).

Storms shouldn't be severe, as by this time, the instability should be at a minimum.

However, this will change as we head into the afternoon. Storms will redevelop to the north and east of the region then drop south and southeast. Severe parameters do indicate severe weather is definetly a possibility. Widespread severe weather, probably not. Scattered severe weather, likely. Upper air features do support a few supercells with the potential for large hail and an isolated tornado or two, but the main threat from these storms will be damaging winds. Limiting factor will be instability. Morning Storms/cloud cover expected to limit instability quite a bit. This is what will inhibit widespread severe weather from developing. Timing looks to be mid to late afternoon for those in the western/northern portions of the viewing area, and early evening for those in the eastern/southern portion of the viewing area. Me or Erik will be LIVE on www.livestream.com/southernindianaweather IF and WHEN severe weather watches or warnings are issued for the area. (THE LATEST SPC MAPS AND DISCUSSION ARE

BELOW)

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK-Tomorrow

SEVERE WEATHER PROBABILITY-Tomorrow

SPC SAYS: SOME POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR DESTABILIZATION AHEAD OF THE FRONT FROM THE MID MS VALLEY INTO WRN PARTS OF THE OH VALLEY WHERE REMNANT EML WILL LIKELY ADVECT EWD ABOVE AXIS OF MOIST ADVECTION. ADDITIONAL STORMS MAY DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT AS ATMOSPHERE DESTABILIZES...BUT VEERING AND WEAKENING OF THE LOW LEVEL WINDS AND POTENTIAL FOR SOME CAP ASSOCIATED WITH ERN EXTENTION OF THE EML COULD POSE A PROBLEM FOR STORM INITIATION/COVERAGE ALONG FRONT. WHERE STORMS DEVELOP...SUFFICIENT WNWLY UNIDIRECTIONAL BULK SHEAR WILL EXIST TO SUPPORT ORGANIZED STORM STRUCTURES WITH ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL THE MAIN THREATS.

Prepared by: Student Meteorologist Patrick Sumner

Monday/3:15PM

Today is a beautiful day! Get out there and enjoy it!

Not to much to talk about weatherwise, at least for today.

Showers and storms will return by Wednesday. I'll have more on that later this evening...everyone have a good afternoon!